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Daily Dose · Maps/Nov 6, 2026/Geology & Votes

The Shoreline That Still Votes

Alabama’s election map draws a dark curve across the middle of the state. It lies along chalk laid down by a Cretaceous sea, and the links between the two are soil, cotton and slavery.

Autauga 26.3%Blount 9.15%Chambers 37.94%Chilton 13.65%Colbert 26.28%Dale 23.43%Elmore 23.48%Hale 52.95%Lawrence 18.5%Limestone 27.34%Monroe 38.1%Pickens 38.02%Talladega 32.78%Choctaw 37.79%Clarke 41.2%Cleburne 7.91%Coffee 20.61%Coosa 28.06%Dallas 65.84%Etowah 21.73%Franklin 12.96%Geneva 11.22%Henry 24.28%Jackson 13.91%Lee 35.28%Lowndes 68.38%Macon 77.66%Madison 44.44%Marion 8.84%Marshall 13.75%Mobile 41.14%Montgomery 64.53%Shelby 28.85%Sumter 70.19%Tuscaloosa 39.17%Wilcox 65.53%Bibb 17.49%Bullock 72.56%Calhoun 27.12%Baldwin 20.4%Clay 14.67%Crenshaw 22.46%Fayette 13.65%Jefferson 54.27%Marengo 47.83%Morgan 23.14%St. Clair 17.55%Washington 22.07%Barbour 42.19%Butler 38.34%Cherokee 11.94%Conecuh 42.64%Covington 13.54%DeKalb 12.67%Escambia 26.5%Greene 77.57%Houston 25.6%Lamar 11.7%Lauderdale 23.66%Perry 71.09%Randolph 17.31%Russell 50.3%Tallapoosa 24.85%Walker 13.77%Winston 7.93%Cullman 9.36%Pike 37.02%Hale53%Dallas66%Lowndes68%Macon78%Madison44%Mobile41%Montgomery65%Sumter70%Wilcox66%Bullock73%Jefferson54%Marengo48%Greene78%Perry71%Russell50%Winston8%Cullman9%CRETACEOUSSHORELINEschematicSELMA CHALKoutcrop, up to25 mi wideschematicCRETACEOUS SEA86–66 millionyears agoGULF OF MEXICOALABAMA · 67 COUNTIESShare of 2024 votefor the Democrat8%78%SELMA → MONTGOMERYwhite line: 1965march route, US 80
01 · The rock

A sea left a curve across the South

The same arc shows up in Mississippi, Georgia and the Carolinas, though the soil differs along the way.

MISS.ALA.GA.S.C.N.C.MississippiDelta: riversilt, not chalkAtlantaBlue: inland edge ofCoastal Plain,schematicBlack: Democrat 65%+Umber: won, under 65%Pale: lost

In Alabama and Mississippi the cotton belt follows Cretaceous chalk. In Georgia and the Carolinas it runs near the inland edge of the Coastal Plain, on different soils. Cities such as Atlanta add their own dark patches, and the Mississippi Delta is river silt, so geology does not explain every county on this map. Bamberg County, South Carolina, a classic example of the arc, gave the Democrat 57.0% in 2024.

02 · The soil

Chalk weathered into dark, fertile cotton ground

The belt runs about 310 miles and is up to 25 miles wide. Its dark prairie soil is the usual explanation for the name Black Belt, though sources differ.

1830s: about 356,000 acres of Black Belt prairietoday: under 1% left

Booker T. Washington wrote in 1901 that the name first described the soil, and only later the people who were forced to work it.

How one rock leads to one map, link by link

  1. Chalk seafloor
  2. Dark prairie soil
  3. Cotton plantations
  4. Enslaved labor
  5. Black majorities
  6. The 2024 map

Each link is historical. Soil does not cast votes: people do, and these votes reflect who lives here and why.

03 · 1860

Cotton brought slavery to the chalk soil

On the eve of the Civil War, 45.1% of Alabama’s people were enslaved. In Marengo County it was 78.3%; in hilly Winston, 3.4%.

Share of residents enslaved, 1860 census

Marengo78.3%Dallas76.6%Greene76.5%Sumter75.3%Wilcox72.3%Lowndes69.8%Macon67.8%Montgomery66.0%Perry65.7%Alabama45.1%Winston3.4%

The ten counties with the most enslaved people held 47% of the state’s total of 435,080. Nine of them are in the bars at left. The tenth is Barbour, with 16,150.

Dallas County alone counted 25,760 enslaved people out of 33,625 residents.

04 · Then and now

160 years later, the pattern has held

Counties with the highest shares of enslaved people in 1860 remain mostly majority-Black today, even after the Great Migration thinned them out.

CountyEnslaved
1860
Black
2020
Dem.
2024
Poverty
2023
Marengo78.352.147.823.5
Dallas76.670.865.831.4
Greene76.580.777.631.0
Sumter75.370.970.233.5
Wilcox72.370.765.532.7
Lowndes69.873.468.429.4
Macon67.880.677.728.8
Montgomery66.059.464.518.3
Perry65.768.671.133.8
Bullock—72.772.633.6
Winston3.41.07.916.6
Alabama45.126.834.115.7

Bold: the eight counties that lead all three lists in the next section

Hale and Bullock were created after 1860, so Bullock shows no 1860 figure. Greene’s 1860 area was larger than today’s because Hale was cut partly from it. Marengo, the highest in 1860, narrowly went Republican in 2024, with the Democrat at 47.8%.

05 · 2024

Same eight, three lists

Sort Alabama’s 67 counties by Black share, by Democratic vote, or by poverty. The top eight are identical each time. Montgomery, in blue, is ninth for two lists.

00303060609090Black share of residents, 2020 (%)Democratic share of vote, 2024 (%)Jefferson (Birmingham)WinstonMaconr = 0.97solid: the eight

Across all 67 counties, Black share and Democratic vote correlate at r = 0.97 (our calculation). Black Alabamians have voted heavily Democratic since the 1960s, so this map mostly charts where they live.

Black share, 2020

  1. Greene80.7
  2. Macon80.6
  3. Lowndes73.4
  4. Bullock72.7
  5. Sumter70.9
  6. Dallas70.8
  7. Wilcox70.7
  8. Perry68.6
  9. Montgomery59.4

Democratic vote, 2024

  1. Macon77.7
  2. Greene77.6
  3. Bullock72.6
  4. Perry71.1
  5. Sumter70.2
  6. Lowndes68.4
  7. Dallas65.8
  8. Wilcox65.5
  9. Montgomery64.5

Poverty, 2023

  1. Perry33.8
  2. Bullock33.6
  3. Sumter33.5
  4. Wilcox32.7
  5. Dallas31.4
  6. Greene31.0
  7. Lowndes29.4
  8. Macon28.8
  9. Conecuh26.5
06 · Stakes

The soil’s fortune ran out long ago

The boll weevil hit in the 1910s and the Great Migration drew people north. Wilcox County has lost 70% of its 1900 population, while Alabama has grown more than 2.7 times.

19 of 24Black Belt counties in persistent poverty, by the University of Alabama’s wider definition.
33.2%poverty among Black residents of the region, against 12% for White residents.
−30%population change in 16 traditional counties from 1910 to 2000, excluding Montgomery. Alabama grew by about 108%.

Wilcox County residents, census counts

1860 · 24,6181900 peak · 35,6312020 · 10,600

Poverty rate 2023, every Alabama county

Shelby 8.4%Perry 33.8%Alabama 15.7%the eight: 28.8–33.8%

Model-based estimates. Montgomery, ninth by vote share, has a poverty rate of 18.3%.

What to notice on the map

Read it from north to south

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