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Daily Dose · Maps  /  Sep 27, 2026  /  Lakes & Rivers

The Sea That Became a Desert

In 1960 the Aral Sea was one of the four largest lakes on Earth. Then its two rivers were diverted to grow cotton. Half a century later, most of it is salt-crusted sand.

−91%
Surface area lost, 1960 → 2010

From 68,000 km² to 14,280 km² — and water volume fell 91% too, from 1,093 to 98.1 km³. (Applied Water Science, 2012)

100 km (approx.) N ARALSKformer port MOYNAQharbour, now far inland NORTH ARAL refilling since 2005 WEST BASIN ARALKUM new desert on the old seabed east basin dry · Aug 2014 former Vozrozhdeniya I. KOK-ARAL DAM13 km · 2005 SYR DARYA AMU DARYA USTYURT PLATEAU KAZAKHSTAN UZBEKISTAN ↓ Karakum Canal draws~13 km³/yr far upstream 1960 shoreline water, 2010s exposed seabed Schematic, not survey-accurate · shorelines simplified
★ The dashed line is where the shore was in 1960. Everything stippled is now dry seabed.
01 · The shrink

Fifty years, four-fifths gone

The sea fell 50–60 cm a year in the 1970s, split in two in 1987, and kept going.

By 1998 it had slipped to eighth-largest lake in the world. In August 2014, satellites showed the eastern lobe of the southern sea had dried completely for the first time in modern history.

68k34k0 1987 · sea splits in two 1960 · 68,000 km²1998 · 28,6872004 · 17,1602010 · 14,280 19602010 Dotted segment: endpoints only — no intermediate values plotted
02 · The cause

Two rivers, rerouted to fields

The Amu Darya and Syr Darya fed the Aral. Soviet planners sent them to cotton instead.

Withdrawals roughly doubled between 1960 and 2000. The Karakum Canal alone runs 1,375 km across Turkmenistan, carrying about 13 km³ of Amu Darya water a year. In a basin where evaporation outpaces rainfall five-to-one, a sea without rivers can only shrink.

Rain + snow on the sea <200 mm/yr Evaporation off the sea 1,000–1,200 mm/yr Same scale · pale segment = range of estimate · no rivers, no sea
Whole sea, 19601,093 km³ Whole sea, 201098.1 km³ · −91% North Aral after Kok-Aral dam~27 km³ (+42%)
03 · The brine

Fresh-ish lake to salt pan

As the water left, the salt stayed behind.

At 10 g/L in 1960 the Aral was less than a third as salty as the sea. By 2010 the southern remnant measured about 130 g/L. Most native fish could not survive it.

0140 g/L 10Aral, 1960 ~35open ocean 130 g/LSouth Aral, 2010 Brackish-lake to brine: South Aral now roughly 3–4× saltier than the ocean
04 · The cost

A fishing economy, stranded

Harbour towns like Moynaq and Aralsk were left looking at sand.

The new Aralkum desert on the old seabed now covers more than 57,000 km² by one estimate (others say ~40,000), and wind carries its salty dust across the region.

~40,000
people employed by the Aral fishery at its peak
1/6
of the Soviet Union’s entire fish catch came from the Aral, reportedly
57,000
km² of new desert (Aralkum) — estimate; varies by source
05 · The comeback

One dam, one half-saved sea

Kazakhstan walled off the North Aral in 2005 and let the Syr Darya fill it.

The 13 km Kok-Aral dam, backed by the World Bank, raised the North Aral about 4 m and grew its volume 42% to roughly 27 km³. Fish returned; the annual catch reached about 8,000 tonnes. A second phase (2026–29) aims to lift the level from 40.4 to 44 m.

+4 m
rise in North Aral water level after the dam
+42%
North Aral volume, to ~27 km³
8,000 t
annual fish catch, revived
What to notice on the map

The dam is the whole story in one line

North of the Kok-Aral dam, a river still reaches a sea. South of it, the Amu Darya fades out in its delta before it ever touches water.

  1. The dashed 1960 shore sits far from today’s water on every side — look how far Moynaq and Aralsk are from blue.
  2. The west basin survives only because it is deep, hugging the Ustyurt cliffs.
  3. Vozrozhdeniya “island” is no longer an island; the seabed around it is dry.
  4. Why it matters: the Aral shows how fast a large water body can vanish when upstream use outruns inflow — and that partial recovery is possible.
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