← Daily Dose The Half-Empty Hive — Daily Dose No. 070
Daily Dose  /  Sep 24, 2026  /  Honey Bees

The Half-Empty Hive

Every year since tracking began, America’s beekeepers have lost far more colonies than they consider survivable. In 2024–25 they lost more than half — and then quietly rebuilt, again.

55.6%
Record annual loss · 2024–25Share of managed US honey bee colonies that died between April 2024 and April 2025 — the highest since the national survey began in 2010–11.
Apiary Inspectors of America & Auburn University, US Beekeeping Survey, 2025
01 · The scale

“Acceptable” sits at the pale end of the strip

Beekeepers say losing about a fifth of colonies is survivable. Recent years have landed two to three times higher.

Share of colonies lost. Violet = acceptable thresholds: industry 15–20% annual (Auburn, 2026); 21.7% winter, as reported by surveyed beekeepers (AIA, 2025).
02 · The trend

Sixteen years, never once inside the safe band

Annual losses have swung between 29% and 56%, with the three worst years in the last four.

Total annual loss, April–April. Bee Informed Partnership surveys 2010–11 to 2022–23; Apiary Inspectors of America / Auburn 2023–24 onward. 2025–26 eased to 39.9% — still twice “acceptable.”
03 · The comparison

Winter is the killer — and big operations were hit hardest

Every slice of the 2024–25 season overshot the level beekeepers themselves call acceptable.

AIA/Auburn 2024–25 survey (2,453 beekeepers, 219,097 colonies); last bar: Project Apis m. survey of commercial beekeepers, June 2024–Mar 2025.
04 · The bottleneck

One crop, one month, almost every hive

Each February, trucks carry colonies from across the country to California’s almond orchards — the single biggest paycheck of the beekeeping year.

Schematic map. Arrows illustrate typical migratory routes, not measured flows.
2.7M
colonies needed for the 2024 almond bloom (1.4M acres)
farmdoc daily / USDA NASS, 2025
99%
of all US colonies counted on Jan 1, 2024 — the almond demand, in one month
farmdoc daily, 2025
$200+
average almond pollination fee per colony
farmdoc daily, 2025
05 · The cause

A mite that stopped dying

USDA scientists traced the 2025 collapse to viruses spread by Varroa mites — mites that shrugged off the most-used treatment.

100%
of Varroa mites sampled carried a genetic marker for resistance to amitraz, the main commercial miticide
USDA ARS, bioRxiv, Jun 2025
~184k
colonies across six large commercial operations sampled in January 2025 — about 7% of US hives
USDA ARS, bioRxiv, Jun 2025
3
viruses at unusually high levels: deformed wing virus A & B, and acute bee paralysis virus
USDA ARS, bioRxiv, Jun 2025
06 · The stakes

The bill for a bad winter

Colony counts recover because beekeepers split survivors and buy new queens — but every rebuild costs money, time and bees.

1.7M
commercial colonies lost, June 2024 – March 2025
Project Apis m., 2025
$600M
estimated lost revenue: pollination income, honey and replacement costs
USDA estimate, via Project Apis m., 2025
$15B+
crop value added each year by honey bee pollination in the US
USDA ARS estimate
What you can do · why it matters

Almonds, apples, berries, melons — one insect underwrites them

Honey bees are livestock, and their keepers absorb the losses. A few things genuinely help.

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