← Daily Dose Three Out of Four — Daily Dose No. 030
Daily Dose / Aug 15, 2026 / Fundamental Forces

Three Out
of Four

For 350 years physics has kept making the same discovery: two forces that looked different turn out to be one force wearing different clothes. Electricity and magnetism merged in 1865. Electromagnetism and the weak nuclear force merged in 1967 — and the merger was confirmed by experiment in 1983. The strong force joined the same mathematical framework in 1973. Gravity has never joined anything. Here is exactly how far the unification has got, what the near-misses look like, and what the next decisive measurement costs.

1036

Gravity is roughly 1036 times weaker than electromagnetism — measured between two protons.

Electrostatic repulsion divided by gravitational attraction for a pair of protons, computed from CODATA 2022 constants: 1.2 × 1036. The other three forces sit within a handful of orders of magnitude of one another. Gravity sits thirty-six decades away — and it is the only one with no quantum description.

01The spectrum

One of these is not like the others

Every force has a dimensionless coupling — a pure number saying how hard it pulls. Laid on a single logarithmic strip spanning thirty-nine decades, the strong, electromagnetic and weak forces huddle together at one end. Gravity is alone at the other.

Gravity 5.9 × 10⁻³⁹ Weak nuclear ≈ 10⁻⁶ Electromagnetic 7.30 × 10⁻³ (α = 1/137.036) Strong nuclear ≈ 1 10⁻³⁹ 10⁻³⁰ 10⁻²⁰ 10⁻¹⁰ 1 RELATIVE COUPLING STRENGTH · LOGARITHMIC · 39 DECADES END TO END

Strong nuclear

≈ 1

8 gluons · range 10⁻¹⁵ m

Binds quarks into protons and neutrons, and those into nuclei. Confined: it never reaches beyond a nucleus.

Electromagnetic

7.3×10⁻³

Photon · range infinite

The fine-structure constant, α = 1/137.035999. Holds electrons to nuclei — which is to say, all of chemistry.

Weak nuclear

≈ 10−6

W± 80.369 · Z⁰ 91.188 GeV

Changes quark flavour. Feeble only because its carriers are heavy — it is electromagnetism's twin above 100 GeV.

Gravity

5.9×10⁻³⁹

Graviton · never detected

Gmp²/ħc, the gravitational coupling for two protons. Infinite range, always attractive, and still purely classical.

Couplings quoted at low energy; the strong and weak numbers are conventional order-of-magnitude values, since both "run" with energy. Boson masses and α from Particle Data Group 2024; α and Gmp²/ħc from CODATA 2022.

02The merger

What has already been unified

Unification is a real historical process with dates and Nobel Prizes attached, not a slogan. Read this left to right: separate phenomena flow together into single theories. One line never joins.

16871865 1967–681973–83 ??? Electricity Magnetism Light Weak force Strong force Celestial gravity Terrestrial gravity Electromagnetism MAXWELL · 4 EQUATIONS · LIGHT IS A FIELD WAVE Electroweak GLASHOW · SALAM · WEINBERG — NOBEL 1979 W AND Z FOUND AT CERN, 1983 — NOBEL 1984 Standard Model SU(3) × SU(2) × U(1) ONE FRAMEWORK, THREE SEPARATE COUPLINGS. COMBINED — NOT UNIFIED. HIGGS FOUND 2012: 125.20 ± 0.11 GeV FREE PARAMETERS: 19 (26 WITH NEUTRINO MASS) FORCES DESCRIBED: 3 OF 4 Gravitation NEWTON 1687 · EINSTEIN 1915 — GEOMETRY, NOT A QUANTUM FIELD Quantum gravity NO TESTED THEORY. NO EXPERIMENTAL SIGNATURE. EVER.

Electroweak unification: Glashow, Salam and Weinberg, Nobel Prize in Physics 1979; W and Z bosons observed by UA1/UA2 at CERN in 1983 (Rubbia and van der Meer, Nobel 1984). Higgs boson observed by ATLAS and CMS, July 2012 (Englert and Higgs, Nobel 2013); mass 125.20 ± 0.11 GeV, PDG 2024.

03The near miss

Three couplings, one meeting point that isn't quite there

Force strengths are not constants — they drift with the energy you probe them at. Extrapolate the Standard Model's three couplings upward and they very nearly converge around 1016 GeV. Nearly. They cross each other at three different energies instead of one point, and that near-miss has driven fifty years of theory.

015 304560 1 / α (INVERSE COUPLING — HIGHER MEANS WEAKER) 10² 10⁴ 10⁸ 10¹² 10¹⁶ 10¹⁹ ENERGY SCALE, GeV → LHC · 13.6 TeV GUT SCALE ≈ 10¹⁶ GeV THEY CROSS THREE TIMES — 10¹³, 10¹⁴·⁴, 10¹⁷ GeV 1/α₁ · hypercharge 1/α₂ · weak 1/α₃ · strong 59.0 29.6 8.5 STANDARD MODEL — MISSES WITH SUPERSYMMETRY — CONVERGES AT 1/α ≈ 24 (SUPERPARTNERS NOT OBSERVED)
Measured anchors
At the Z mass, αs = 0.1180 ± 0.0009 — the strong coupling, measured to under 1%. mZ = 91.1880 ± 0.0020 GeV. Everything to the right of the chart's left edge is extrapolation from here. (PDG 2024)
The near miss
Run the plain Standard Model up and the three lines cross pairwise near 10¹³, 10¹⁴·⁴ and 10¹⁷ GeV — a triangle, not a point. Grand unification requires a point.
The fix, and its price
Add supersymmetry with superpartners near 1 TeV and the three converge at MGUT ≈ 1.05 × 10¹⁶ GeV. The catch: the LHC has looked for those superpartners since 2010 and found none.

Illustrative model: both line sets are one-loop renormalisation-group running from measured PDG 2024 values at mZ — the standard textbook calculation, not a measurement. Real two-loop and threshold corrections shift the crossings slightly; the qualitative result (Standard Model misses, MSSM nearly meets) is robust and well established.

04The gap

Where the answer lives, and how far we can reach

Quantum gravity becomes unavoidable at the Planck energy, 1.22 × 1019 GeV. The most powerful machine ever built reaches 1.36 × 104 GeV. Because the axis below is logarithmic, the bars flatter us enormously: the real ratio is about a million billion.

10⁵10¹⁰ 10¹⁵10²⁰ Proton rest mass 0.938 GeV Electroweak scale — where the merger happens 246 GeV LHC — highest energy ever built 13,600 GeV · 13.6 TeV "Amaterasu" cosmic ray, 2021 — nature's collider 2.4 × 10¹¹ GeV Grand-unification scale — where the couplings should meet ≈ 1 × 10¹⁶ GeV Planck energy — where gravity must become quantum 1.22 × 10¹⁹ GeV

The shortfall

9 × 1014

Planck energy ÷ LHC energy

Collider physics is about fifteen orders of magnitude short of the energy where a theory of everything is forced to show itself.

Nature's best shot

2.4 × 1011

GeV · Telescope Array, 2023

The "Amaterasu" cosmic ray carried 2.4 × 10²⁰ eV in one particle — a thrown tennis ball's worth of energy in a single nucleus. Still 10⁸ short of Planck.

Brute force, priced

10,000

Light-years of linear collider

An illustrative estimate of the machine length needed to reach the Planck energy with conventional acceleration — longer than the Milky Way's disk is thick.

Illustrative: the 10,000-light-year collider is an order-of-magnitude estimate (A. Loeb), not an engineering study. Cosmic-ray energy from the Telescope Array Collaboration, Science, 2023. Planck energy from CODATA 2022.

05The clean tests

Every experiment built to catch the next theory has come back clean

If the forces unify, protons should decay. The simplest grand unified theory, SU(5), predicted a proton lifetime near 1031 years — and detectors killed it in the 1980s. Since then, every push deeper has found nothing, which is itself the result: it rules out theories by the shelf-load.

10³²10³³10³⁴ 10³⁵ PROTON LIFETIME, YEARS → Minimal SU(5) prediction, 1974 — EXCLUDED ≈ 10³¹ yr Super-K limit · p → μ⁺π⁰π⁰ > 4.5 × 10³³ yr Super-K limit · p → e⁺π⁰π⁰ > 7.2 × 10³³ yr Super-K limit · p → μ⁺π⁰ > 1.6 × 10³⁴ yr Super-K limit · p → e⁺π⁰ — the flagship channel > 2.4 × 10³⁴ yr HYPER-KAMIOKANDE REACH AFTER 10 YEARS: 1.2 × 10³⁵ YR — DATA FROM 2028

Muon g−2 · final answer

127

Parts per billion, Fermilab 2025

aμ = 0.001165920705. The most precise magnetic-moment measurement ever made — for two decades the best hope of a crack in the Standard Model. It closed in June 2025 with no crack.

Higgs boson · found

125.20

GeV ± 0.11 · PDG 2024

The last missing Standard Model particle, predicted in 1964 and observed in 2012. Its discovery completed the theory — and told us nothing about gravity.

Neutrino mass · the one real crack

< 0.45

eV · KATRIN, Science 2025

Neutrinos oscillate, so they have mass — which the Standard Model does not allow. It is the only confirmed laboratory breach in the theory, and nobody knows what it points to.

Proton-decay limits at 90% confidence. p → e⁺π⁰ and p → μ⁺π⁰: Super-Kamiokande Collaboration, Phys. Rev. D 102, 112011 (2020), 0.37 Mton·yr exposure. Two-pion channels: Super-Kamiokande I–V, 0.401 Mton·yr (arXiv:2604.10975). Hyper-Kamiokande sensitivity from the Hyper-K Design Report (arXiv:1805.04163) and collaboration updates.

06The price

What the next step actually costs

Nobody is going to build a galaxy-length collider. The realistic strategy is precision: measure the Higgs so exactly that a deviation appears, or watch enough protons for long enough that one of them dies.

Future Circular Collider

15 bn

Swiss francs · ~12 years

CERN's proposed 90.7 km ring under Geneva, recommended in 2025 as Europe's next flagship. About a third of the cost is digging the tunnel.

Hyper-Kamiokande

258

Kilotonnes of water · from 2028

Roughly eight times Super-K's fiducial volume, watching for a single proton to fall apart. Ten years of running buys one more decade of lifetime reach.

Standard Model dials

26

Free parameters, with neutrino mass

Nineteen in the minimal theory. Every one is measured, not derived. A genuinely unified theory should have far fewer — that is the aesthetic case for pressing on.

Quantum-gravity signals

0

Detected, ever

No graviton, no proton decay, no superpartner, no measured deviation from general relativity. A century of theory with an empty experimental column.

FCC figures from CERN's Future Circular Collider Feasibility Study (2025): 90.7 km circumference, ~15 billion CHF for the first stage. Hyper-K mass from the Hyper-K Design Report (2018).

Why it still matters

Unification is not decoration. Every merger has paid out in technology within a lifetime: Maxwell's 1865 equations gave us radio, radar and the entire electromagnetic spectrum as an engineering resource. Electroweak theory gave us the collider physics that produced medical isotopes, hadron therapy, superconducting magnets and — in a side project at CERN in 1989 — the web.

The honest position today is that we have three of four. The Standard Model is the most precisely tested theory in science and it is visibly incomplete: it does not include gravity, it cannot explain why neutrinos have mass, and it needs 26 numbers that must be measured rather than derived.

What you can actually do. The results in this edition are all public. Super-Kamiokande, KATRIN and the muon g−2 collaboration publish their papers open-access; CERN streams its seminars; the Particle Data Group's Review of Particle Physics — the source of most numbers here — is free online and is the single best reference in physics.

And when a headline says a theory has been "proved," check the column that matters: what did the experiment measure, and to what precision? On unification, that column has been empty for fifty years. That is not failure. It is what a hard open problem looks like from the inside.

pdg.lbl.gov Super-Kamiokande CERN open data arXiv hep-ph

Sources & notes

  1. CODATA 2022 (NIST). Fine-structure constant α = 1/137.035999177; Newtonian constant G; proton mass. Used for the hero ratio (electrostatic ÷ gravitational force between two protons = 1.2 × 10³⁶) and the gravitational coupling Gmp²/ħc = 5.9 × 10⁻³⁹. Planck energy 1.22 × 10¹⁹ GeV.
  2. Particle Data Group, Review of Particle Physics (2024). αs(mZ) = 0.1180 ± 0.0009; mZ = 91.1880 ± 0.0020 GeV; mW = 80.3692 ± 0.0133 GeV; mH = 125.20 ± 0.11 GeV.
  3. Super-Kamiokande Collaboration, Phys. Rev. D 102, 112011 (2020). τ/B(p → e⁺π⁰) > 2.4 × 10³⁴ yr and τ/B(p → μ⁺π⁰) > 1.6 × 10³⁴ yr, 90% CL, 0.37 Mton·yr exposure.
  4. Super-Kamiokande Collaboration I–V, arXiv:2604.10975. τ/B(p → e⁺π⁰π⁰) > 7.2 × 10³³ yr and τ/B(p → μ⁺π⁰π⁰) > 4.5 × 10³³ yr, 90% CL, 0.401 Mton·yr.
  5. Hyper-Kamiokande Design Report, arXiv:1805.04163 (2018) and collaboration updates. Total mass 258 kt (187 kt fiducial); p → e⁺π⁰ sensitivity 1.2 × 10³⁵ yr after 10 years; data taking from 2028.
  6. Muon g−2 Collaboration, Fermilab (June 2025), final result. aμ = 0.001 165 920 705 ± 0.000 000 000 114 (stat.) ± 0.000 000 000 091 (syst.); total precision 127 ppb, beating the 140 ppb design goal.
  7. KATRIN Collaboration, Science (2025). Effective electron-neutrino mass < 0.45 eV, 90% CL, from 259 measurement days and >36 million electrons.
  8. Telescope Array Collaboration, Science (2023). The "Amaterasu" event, 2.4 × 10²⁰ eV (= 2.4 × 10¹¹ GeV), detected 2021.
  9. CERN, Future Circular Collider Feasibility Study (2025). 90.7 km circumference; ~15 billion CHF over ~12 years for the electron–positron stage, roughly a third of it civil engineering.
  10. Nobel Prizes in Physics. 1979: Glashow, Salam, Weinberg (electroweak unification). 1984: Rubbia and van der Meer (W and Z discovery, CERN 1983). 2013: Englert and Higgs. 2015: Kajita and McDonald (neutrino oscillation).
  11. Illustrative / modelled, not measured: the running-coupling chart in §03 is a standard one-loop renormalisation-group extrapolation from PDG values, shown for both the Standard Model and the MSSM with superpartners near 1 TeV; MGUT ≈ 1.05 ± 0.07 × 10¹⁶ GeV is model-dependent. The 10,000-light-year Planck-energy collider (§04) is an order-of-magnitude estimate (A. Loeb), not an engineering design. The strong and weak coupling values on the spectrum strip are conventional low-energy order-of-magnitude figures, since both run with energy.
  12. Standard Model parameter count. 19 free parameters in the minimal theory (3 gauge couplings, 13 in the Yukawa/flavour sector, 2 Higgs, 1 QCD θ-term); 26 once neutrino masses and mixings are included.
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